Yukon Party gaining momentum

 

As undecided voters begin to select candidates, the Yukon Party is receiving the most benefit.  Over the past four days, the Yukon Party has gained strength, mostly at the expense of the Liberal Party.  As of last Thursday night, 48% of voters were undecided, and among the decided voters, 36% of Yukoners were planning to vote Liberal, 33% Yukon Party, 28% NDP and 4% Independent.  An additional 278 completed surveys show that 37% of Yukoners are still undecided, but the Yukon Party preference has increased to 35%, Liberal support has dropped to 33%, and NDP and Independent support has remained stable.  The Yukon Party increase occurred primarily in the communities, where support climbed from 38% to 43%.  It also increased in Whitehorse slightly, from 29% to 31%.  Liberal support in rural Yukon dropped from 32% to 26%.  NDP and Independent support was stable in Whitehorse and the communities. 

This increase has the Yukon Party candidate ahead in 5 of the 18 ridings.  The Liberal Party candidate leads in 4 ridings, NDP has 3 ridings going their way and 6 ridings are too close to call.  However, in the 6 too-close-to-call ridings, the Yukon Party shows a very slight lead in 2 of them, the Liberals in one and the NDP in one.  The two remaining ridings show 2 or 3 way ties going on. 

 

“If the undecided vote continues on this trend, we could see a Yukon Party minority government, with up 7-9 seats, the Liberals could have 5-7 seats and the NDP could have 3-6 seats.  Certainly every vote will count.”  Commented Donna Larsen, DataPath partner.  “Our interviewers worked very hard this weekend to call as many Yukoners as possible.  We even phoned back undecided voters to see if they had made a decision yet.  We want to provide the most accurate data possible, keeping in mind that the undecided vote can still pull any of the these ridings in a different direction.” warned Donna.

 

 

RIDING

PARTY LEADING

Copperbelt

Too close to call – Leaning Liberal with NDP close (Arthur Mitchell followed by Lilyan Grubach)

Klondike

Yukon Party (Peter Jenkins) Note: Lisa Hutton is within the margin of error

Kluane

NDP (Gary McRobb)

Lake Laberge

Yukon Party (Brad Cathers)

Mayo-Tatchun

Liberal (Pat Van Bidder)

McIntrye-Takhini

Too close to call (3 way tie, with Independent Wayne Jim not far behind)

Mount Lorne

Too close to call (Liberal Cynthia Tucker slightly ahead of NDP Steve Cardiff)

Pelly-Nisutin

Yukon Party (Dean Hassard)

Porter Creek Centre

Liberal (Scott Kent)

Porter Creek North

Liberal (Dave Austin) – note: NDP Mark Bowers is within margin of error

Porter Creek South

Too Close to Call (Yukon Party Lynn Odgen is leading)

Riverdale North

Yukon Party (Ted Staffen)

Riverdale South

Liberal (Sue Edelman)

Southern Lakes

Too Close to Call (Patrick Rouble slightly ahead)

Vuntut Gwitchin

Too Close to call

Watson Lake

Yukon Party (Dennis Fentie)

Whitehorse Centre

NDP (Todd Hardy) (Both Bernie Phillips and Mike McLarnon are close to being in the margin of error)

Whitehorse West

Liberal (Dennis Schneider)

 

 

These poll results are based on 728 surveys.  Conducted by DataPath Systems between Oct 19 -27.  The data is weighted to accurately represent Yukoners based on the community they live in, their age and gender. Percentages are statistically valid to +/- 3.5%, 19 times out of 20 (95% confidence) for Territorial-wide data, and +/-13% for each riding.  This information was based non-commissioned sections of this study, paid for by DataPath Systems.